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What It Means for Your Power Bills in 2026

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12/01/2026
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Australia’s universal energy bill rebates are ending. After two years of automatic credits quietly reducing household power bills, most homes will stop receiving government relief from January 2026. 

For many households, the rebates softened the impact of rising electricity costs without addressing the reasons bills increased in the first place. Wholesale prices remain volatile. Network changes continue to rise. Retail pricing structures have largely stayed the same. Once the credits disappear, those underlying costs will show up more clearly on quarterly bills. 

This matters because the rebates applied to almost everyone. They were not tied to income, usage habits, or whether a household had solar. Their removal marks the point where short-term bill relief gives way to the actual cost of electricity. 

For homeowners, 2026 will be the first year in which power bills reflect energy prices without government buffering. Knowing what changes and what does not, makes it easier to plan ahead rather than react when higher bills arrive. 

What actually changes when the rebates end

From January 2026, most households will no longer see automatic energy bill credits applied to their electricity accounts.   There is no replacement rebate currently locked in at a federal level, which means power bills will return to reflecting retail prices without government offsets. 

Nothing is being added to electricity pricing, though. The credit that reduced the amount payable each quarter will be gone. For those who received the full rebate, the difference can be hundreds of dollars across the year. 

Also, the end of the rebates doesn’t mean electricity prices are suddenly rising overnight. In many cases, prices were already high. The rebates simply reduce how much of those costs reach households. Once they end, bills feel higher because the buffer is gone. 

The effect varies for solar households. Those with strong daytime self-consumption may feel the change less. However, those who rely heavily on grid power during evenings or winter months will notice the loss more clearly, especially if feed-in tariffs (FiTs) continue to trend lower. 

Why some households will feel the end of rebates more than others

The impact of the rebate ending isn’t going to be the same for every household. How much you notice it depends on how and when you use electricity. Basically, it’s not all about how much you use it. 

If you have high evening demand, you will likely feel the change first. Cooking, heating, air conditioning, and entertainment often happen after sunset, when grid electricity is at its most expensive. Without a rebate offset, those costs show up directly on the bill. 

This also means households with older appliances or poor insulation will be more exposed. Less efficient systems draw more power to achieve the same result. The rebate helped soften that inefficiency. Once it ends, energy waste becomes more expensive. 

Those with solar systems are not immune to this, especially if most solar generation is exported during the day and electricity is bought back in the evening. The loss of the rebate can still be noticeable. Lower FiTs reduce the value of exported energy, while grid prices remain high during peak periods. 

Renters and apartment dwellers face additional limits. Many cannot install solar or make efficiency upgrades, which means they rely almost entirely on retail pricing. Without rebates, they have fewer leaves to pull to reduce bills. 

Why bills can rise even if your usage stays the same

Many households assume higher bills only come from using more electricity. The truth is, bills can rise even when usage stays flat. 

Electricity prices are made up of more than energy consumption. Network charges, wholesale costs, and retail margins all sit behind the per-kilowatt-hour rate on your bill. When a rebate is applied, it reduces the final amount payable without changing those underlying prices. Once that credit disappears, the same usage produces a higher bill. 

Seasonal patterns are a factor too. Winter heating, shorter days, and higher evening demand increase reliance on grid power. If the first full bills without rebates arrive during colder months, the jump can feel sharper even without a change in habits. 

Solar households see this effect too. Exported solar energy earns less than the cost of electricity bought back from the grid. If FiTs continue to fall while retail rates stay high, stable usage can still translate into higher costs once rebates are gone. 

This is why the end of rebates often feels sudden. The pricing structure was already there. The rebate simply masked it. 

What to check before your first full 2026 power bill

Before the rebates disappear from your bills, it’s worth checking a few things that affect how exposed your household will be once prices are no longer buffered. 

  • Supply charges vs. usage: Check how much of your bill comes from fixed daily supply charges compared to energy use. Supply charges are unavoidable and apply every day, regardless of consumption. If they make up a large share of your bill, rebates may have been masking how limited your control really is. 
  • When you use electricity: Evening electricity use is usually the most expensive. Households that rely heavily on power after sunset, especially in winter, are more exposed once rebates end. 
  • Solar self-consumption: For solar homes, total generation matters less than how much solar is used on-site. High daytime exports do not prevent higher bills if grid power is still heavily used in the evenings, particularly as FiTs fall. 
  • Your current retail plan: Many households stay on the same electricity plan long after discounts expire. Once rebates are gone, plan pricing has a bigger impact because there is no longer a credit offsetting a poor rate. 

How solar and batteries change the picture after rebates

Once energy bill rebates end, solar becomes less about headline savings and more about control. Those who can generate and use their own electricity are less exposed to retail pricing because fewer kilowatt-hours are purchased from the grid. 

Solar-only households benefit most when electricity is used during the day. Running appliances, heating water, or charging devices while the system is generating reduces reliance on grid power later. Where most solar is exported, and power is bought back in the evening, the protection is weaker, especially as FiTs continue to fall. 

Batteries address that gap by storing excess solar generation for use after sunset. This shifts more household demand away from peak-priced grid electricity. The value of a battery increases as evening prices rise and rebates disappear, even if FiTs remain low. 

That does not mean solar or batteries are a universal solution. Upfront costs, roof suitability, household demand patterns, and local tariffs all affect the outcome. What changes in 2026 are the comparison point. Without rebates, the cost of relying solely on the grid becomes clearer, making self-generation easier to evaluate in practical terms. 

Looking ahead to 2026

The end of universal energy bill rebates does not change how electricity is priced. It changes how clearly households see those prices. For many, higher bills will not come from using more power, but from losing the credit that once softened the cost.

For homeowners, 2026 is about visibility. Understanding when electricity is used, how much comes from the grid, and what sits behind the total bill makes it easier to respond with intention rather than surprise. Whether that means changing habits, reviewing plans, or considering solar and storage, the first step is knowing what the rebates were covering and what they were not.

Energy Matters has been in the solar industry since 2005 and has helped over 40,000 Australian households in their journey to energy independence.

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